Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Chernihiv Stadium (Černihiv)


	Chernihiv		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.78
	3.09	3.10	2.24	Watch
	2.39	3.02	2.77
	2.6	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	2.58 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
34.5%

Draw
30.2%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ahrobiznes Volochysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ahrobiznes Volochysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chernihiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 11. Novikov A. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.	71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 2. Gavrushko I. 19. Kozak B. 10. Kuzmyn R. 5. Palyukh S. 17. Slyva R. 20. Syomka A. 8. Teplyi V. 21. Tolochko R. (C) 9. Voytikhovskiy M. 3. Zin A.
Substitutes
17. Chaban V. 24. Dmytrovych D. D. 2. Galstyan E. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 77. Serdyuk M. 21. Shkolnyi V. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 80. Terekhovets N. 25. Volskyi D.	4. Basovskyi D. 97. Bogomaz N. 35. Bogoslavskyi A. 79. Borovskyi A. 28. Len O. 27. Nyzhnyk A. 6. Pavlyuk K. 77. Pidkivka R. (G) 12. Potimkov I. (G) 93. Shmygelskiy B. 33. Sydorenko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Kuzmyn R. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, Voytikhovskiy M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 5).

Chernihiv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ahrobiznes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ahrobiznes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.25	Inhulets - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Chernihiv - Lisne	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Chernihiv - UCSA	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TWLWW
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	0:3 ✺
14.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

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