Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Paskhal I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.58
	6	3.75	1.57
	5.92	3.8	1.55
	6.06	3.58	1.61	Watch
	5.8	3.8	1.5
	6.15	4.05	1.6	Watch
	6	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (4.7)	3.79 ↑ (3.47)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
15.7%

Draw
24.7%

Kryvbas
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.5%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

26.5%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kryvbas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kryvbas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kryvbas Predictions

Users Predictions: Kryvbas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 50. Semenov D. 3. Dudarenko O. 44. Banada E. 18. Dedukh R. 19. Kogut M. 29. Prykhodko K. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Sukhoruchko D.	33. Klishchuk A. (G) 25. Bandeira 3. Romanchuk O. 15. Drambayev O. 21. Kuzyk D. 8. Bizimana D. 22. Vakulko Y. 97. Poe J. 14. Lunyov M. 20. Mykytyshyn A. 9. Sosah D.
Substitutes
27. Astakhov E. 12. Fastov D. (G) 26. Galas T. 9. Kobzar B. 17. Kogut I. 25. Kosovskyi S. 45. Oleksiiovych Nepeiviev R. 5. Samar V. 22. Shapoval V. 6. Sidnney 14. Spivakov A. 11. Voytsekhovskiy V.	55. Dibango I. 59. Kaplunov I. 1. Khoma B. (G) 66. Konate B. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 27. Matteo Amoroso 7. Ponedelnik A. 64. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 94. Zaderaka M.
Coaches
Pervak V.	Vernydub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Kogut M. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
64', Prykhodko K. ↓, Galas T. ↑,
64', Sosah D. ↓, Tverdokhlib Y. ↑,
67', Bandeira 🟨,
69', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
74', Poe J. ↓, Zaderaka M. ↑,
74', Bandeira ↓, Ponedelnik A. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Zaderaka M. ⚽,
83', Lunyov M. ↓, Dibango I. ↑,
86', Romanchuk O. 🟨,
88', Banada E. ↓, Spivakov A. ↑,
90', Synytsya O. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Kryvbas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
01.09.24	Veres Rivne - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
13.08.24	Kudrivka - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	3:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLL
- FC Kryvbas
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.08.24	Betis - Kryvbas	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.08.24	Kryvbas - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Kryvbas - Betis	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.24	Veres Rivne - Kryvbas	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLWL

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