Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 11

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4.25
	1.93	3.03	4.05
	2.39	2.62	3.69	Watch
	2.02	3.11	3.95
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.9 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
45%

Draw
31.2%

Vorskla Poltava
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Livyi Bereh will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vorskla will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 44. Banada E. (C) 8. Diego Henrique 52. Kryvoruchko O. 5. Samar V. 7. Shastal D. 6. Sidnney 2. Sokolov O. 17. Vorobchak N. 29. Wendell 97. Yakymiv A.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 9. Burenko M. 29. Chervak V. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 17. Semotyuk V. 23. Shershen M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
27. Astakhov E. 90. Bonsu N. 4. Chuev B. 11. Galoyan S. 37. Geresh R. 9. Gunichev Y. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 10. Riznyk A. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 96. Synytsya O. 19. Syzonyuk Y. 22. Tishchenko V.	20. Andrushchenko M. 47. Baginskyi N. A. 77. Chidomere A. 51. Grechko D. (G) 97. Korablin T. 10. Myshenko B. 22. Potskhveria I. 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 99. Serdyuk A. 8. Tatarkov M. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Dmytruk T. 🟨,
27', Sidnney 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Sidnney (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Samar V. 🟨,
60', Semotyuk V. ↓, Tatarkov M. ↑,
60', Voytsekhovskyi V. ↓, Andrushchenko M. ↑,
60', Baydal A. ↓, Korablin T. ↑,
67', Diego Henrique ↓, Gunichev Y. ↑,
75', Banada E. 🟨,
75', Chervak V. ↓, Chidomere A. ↑,
82', Korablin T. 🟨,
83', Shastal D. ↓, Bonsu N. ↑,
83', Vorobchak N. ↓, Galoyan S. ↑,
87', Wendell ↓, Sukhoruchko D. ↑,
89', Dvorovenko V. ↓, Serdyuk A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Galoyan S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vorskla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Livyi Bereh might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Livyi Bereh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Livyi Bereh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Vorskla Poltava - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Nyva Ternopil	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
13.12.24	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1
09.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3

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