Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 26

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Ljungskile		Onsala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.8	3.75
	1.83	3.75	3.6
	1.76	4.34	3.6
	1.75	4.29	3.82	Watch
	1.8	3.84	3.76	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	3.96 ↓ (4)	3.69 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
51.8%

Draw
23.2%

Onsala
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

22.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ljungskile's performance.

Onsala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Onsala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ljungskile that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Onsala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ljungskile - Onsala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos T. (G) 4. Ohlsson S. (C) 12. Lellouch N. 17. Jatta N. 23. Uzel M. 14. Hussain M. 6. Bahno M. 9. Bosnic S. 16. Zetterlund J. 99. Corner L. 11. Shears I.	73. Isero I. (G) 14. Wennergrund F. 3. Levinson A. 21. Wennergrund M. 19. Parker S. 8. Berglund W. 6. Johansson M. 7. Palmquist J. (C) 12. Glaerum V. 9. Andersson V. 10. Lindstrom H.
Substitutes
15. Harrison O. 1. Hermansson N. (G) 21. Kingsley A. A. 7. Liljedahl J. 5. Mukiibi R. 8. Omar H. 20. Svernfors D.	11. Ekdahl H. 5. Heaver S. 15. Hilvenius V. 4. Jarnvik J. 17. Jedenberg H. 16. Nygaard A. 1. Westgards E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Shears I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Berglund W. ↓, Nygaard A. ↑,
67', Glaerum V. ↓, Ekdahl H. ↑,
70', Lindstrom H. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Corner L. ⚽, Zetterlund J. (A),
71', Bosnic S. ↓, Kingsley A. A. ↑,
74', Wennergrund M. 🟨,
78', Johansson M. ↓, Jarnvik J. ↑,
80', Zetterlund J. ↓, Omar H. ↑,
84', Palmquist J. 🟥,
85', 2 - 0, Shears I. ⚽,
90', Corner L. ↓, Svernfors D. ↑,
90+2', Omar H. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ljungskile is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Onsala is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ljungskile will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ljungskile won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.10.24	Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ljungskile - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Falkenberg - Ljungskile	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Ljungskile - Torslanda	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Torn - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 WWWWL
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.10.24	Onsala - Rosengård 1917	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Lunds - Onsala	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Onsala - Ängelholm	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Norrby - Onsala	3:3 ✺
08.09.24	Onsala - Olympic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
13.04.24	Onsala - Ljungskile	2:3

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