Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla)


	Ljungskile		Oskarshamn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.9	5.25
	1.62	3.85	4.9
	1.65	3.75	5.23
	1.66	3.71	5.23	Watch
	1.68	3.45	5.49	Watch
	1.62	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.43)	3.75 ↓ (4.03)	5.17 ↓ (7.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
57.3%

Draw
24.7%

Oskarshamn
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

23%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.1%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ljungskile's form might have worsened.

Oskarshamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oskarshamn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ljungskile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oskarshamn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ljungskile - Oskarshamn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ljungskile (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Oskarshamn (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ljungskile (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ljungskile (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oskarshamn (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson L. (G) 10. Ambroz F. 17. Helm A. 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 14. Lagerlof D. 18. Larsson A. 9. Lindholm Corner L. 60. Mensah G. 2. Nafors Dahlin R. 16. Ohlsson S. (C) 8. Tyren V.	30. Basic M. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 19. Arvidsson G. 6. Blomdahl O. (C) 17. Davoudi-Kia A. 2. Hogberg M. 16. Masangane K. 77. Navik L. 15. Nilsson V. 12. Pettersson B. L. 27. Renato
Substitutes
11. Bjork A. 7. Liljedahl J. 37. Liljedahl W. (G) 19. Rasheed A. 23. Uzel M. 5. Vennberg J. 6. Zetterlund J.	11. Adolfsson I. 7. Ali K. 10. Alnator T. 1. Hartmann M. (G) 9. Nyholm A. 8. Olaniyan O. 13. Stenman F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ambroz F. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Navik L. ⚽,
45', Ohlsson S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ambroz F. ↓, Uzel M. ↑,
57', Nilsson V. 🟨,
62', Larsson A. ↓, Rasheed A. ↑,
62', Nilsson V. ↓, Nyholm A. ↑,
70', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Liljedahl J. ↑,
71', Helm A. ↓, Zetterlund J. ↑,
76', Aksoy Y. 🟨,
76', Renato ↓, Alnator T. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Lagerlof D. ⚽,
82', Masangane K. ↓, Ali K. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ali K. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Alnator T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 1.

Ljungskile is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oskarshamn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ljungskile is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Ljungskile will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ljungskile won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.05.25	Hässleholm - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ljungskile - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Skövde AIK - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Ljungskile - Norrby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL
- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.05.25	Trollhättan - Oskarshamn	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Oskarshamn - Olympic	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lunds - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Oskarshamn - Norrby	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Oskarshamn - Ängelholm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.08.24	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:1
30.03.24	Oskarshamn - Ljungskile	2:1
28.10.23	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	2:1
13.05.23	Oskarshamn - Ljungskile	3:2
15.10.22	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:1
04.06.22	Oskarshamn - Ljungskile	0:2
14.08.21	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:1

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