Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Edsborgs IP (Trollhättan)


	Trollhättan		Oskarshamn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.2
	1.6	4.1	4.8
	1.63	3.95	5.09
	1.63	4	5.01	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.73	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	4.61 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trollhättan
56%

Draw
23.6%

Oskarshamn
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

21.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trollhättan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trollhättan's performance.

Oskarshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trollhättan than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trollhättan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oskarshamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trollhättan - Oskarshamn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Oskarshamn (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oskarshamn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogg C. (C) 15. Belouchi M. 13. Berg M. 18. Bosnic S. 22. Eze D. 23. Jensen W. 10. Lext C. 8. Reljanovic E. 2. Rundqvist S. 3. Svensson L. 7. Tilly H.	1. Hartmann M. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 7. Ali K. 6. Blomdahl O. (C) 17. Davoudi-Kia A. 2. Hogberg M. 16. Masangane K. 77. Navik L. 15. Nilsson V. 12. Pettersson B. L. 27. Renato
Substitutes
12. Abdirsak H. 11. Abdi Y. 21. Forsberg E. 25. Henriksson J. 14. Sernling T. 19. Sterner F. 5. Svensson N.	10. Alnator T. 19. Arvidsson G. 30. Basic M. (G) 21. Cronvall R. 9. Nyholm A. 8. Olaniyan O. 13. Stenman F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', Eze D. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Masangane K. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Lext C. (Pen),
17', Reljanovic E. 🟨,
29', 1 - 2, Nilsson V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Davoudi-Kia A. 🟨,
56', Aksoy Y. 🟨,
59', Ali K. ↓, Cronvall R. ↑,
60', Eze D. ↓, Abdirsak H. ↑,
60', Lext C. ↓, Sernling T. ↑,
63', Cronvall R. ↓, Arvidsson G. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Tilly H. ⚽,
75', Svensson L. ↓, Svensson N. ↑,
80', Nilsson V. ↓, Nyholm A. ↑,
80', Navik L. ↓, Alnator T. ↑,
80', Renato ↓, Stenman F. ↑,
89', Bosnic S. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Alnator T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Abdirsak H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trollhättan won 5.

Recent performances by Trollhättan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oskarshamn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trollhättan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Trollhättan won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trollhättan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Trollhättan
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.04.25	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Hässleholm - Trollhättan	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Trollhättan - Lunds	1:5 ✺
05.04.25	Husqvarna - Trollhättan	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Trollhättan - Skövde AIK	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.04.25	Oskarshamn - Olympic	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lunds - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Oskarshamn - Norrby	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Oskarshamn - Ängelholm	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Torslanda - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.10.24	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	0:1
12.05.24	Trollhättan - Oskarshamn	2:1
19.08.23	Trollhättan - Oskarshamn	3:0
01.04.23	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	1:2
05.11.22	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	0:2
17.04.22	Trollhättan - Oskarshamn	0:0
06.11.21	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	0:0

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