Match Info

Date: 23 February 2020, Sunday


	Llagostera		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.95	3	4
	1.9	2.99	3.72
	2.04	3.01	4.23
	2	3.1	3.75
	1.99	3.2	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.89 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llagostera
46.7%

Draw
29.8%

Orihuela
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

17.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llagostera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llagostera than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llagostera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llagostera - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Llagostera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.02.20	Hércules - Llagostera	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Llagostera - Levante B	1:3 ✺
01.02.20	Villarreal B - Llagostera	4:1 ✺
25.01.20	Llagostera - Prat	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Ejea - Llagostera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.02.20	Sabadell - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Orihuela - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.20	CSKA Moscow - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.02.20	Levante B - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	Orihuela - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.10.19	Orihuela - Llagostera	0:3
27.03.13	Orihuela - Llagostera	0:0

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