Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Orihuela		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.8
	4.15	2.9	1.95
	4.2	3	1.86
	4.66	3.2	1.9
	4.4	3.1	1.85
	4.42	3.14	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.02)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	1.87 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
21.2%

Draw
29.8%

Villarreal B
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orihuela's form might have worsened.

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orihuela - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Promotion Group)).

Orihuela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villarreal B is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Orihuela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.03.21	Ibiza - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Peña Deportiva - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Orihuela - Hércules	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	Orihuela - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Valencia B - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLT
- Villarreal B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.21	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Valencia B - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Villarreal B - Atzeneta	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
30.01.21	Villarreal B - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.12.20	Villarreal B - Orihuela	2:0
26.01.20	Orihuela - Villarreal B	1:2
07.09.19	Villarreal B - Orihuela	2:1
12.05.13	Orihuela - Villarreal B	1:1

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