Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Llanera		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.35
	2.9	2.85	2.4
	2.9	3.05	2.29
	3.02	3.05	2.47
	2.91	3.13	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.92)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
31.3%

Draw
30.4%

Palencia CA
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

21.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palencia CA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llanera - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Llanera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palencia CA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Llanera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Llanera - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.11.21	Marino de Luanco - Llanera	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Llanera - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Bergantiños - Llanera	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Llanera - Leganés B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WLTWL
- Palencia CA
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Palencia CA - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.21	Palencia CA - Ceares	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Marino de Luanco - Palencia CA	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Palencia CA - Langreo	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	Arenteiro - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWW

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