Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Llanera		Tuilla

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.45	4.01	5.71
	1.45	4.02	5.71
	1.44	4.15	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)	4.05 ↑ (3.48)	5.73 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
62.1%

Draw
22.2%

Tuilla
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llanera's performance.

Tuilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Llanera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Llanera is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanera won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanera	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Llanera - Condal	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Colunga - Llanera	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Llanera - Real Titánico	2:4 ✺
12.10.23	Barcia - Llanera	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Tuilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Tuilla - Praviano	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Lealtad - Tuilla	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Tuilla - Gijón Industrial	3:1
22.10.23	Lenense - Tuilla	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Tuilla - Urraca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.03.23	Llanera - Tuilla	8:0
30.10.22	Tuilla - Llanera	0:2
19.01.20	Llanera - Tuilla	3:1
31.08.19	Tuilla - Llanera	3:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
19.11.17	Llanera - Tuilla	3:1

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