Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)


	Llaneros		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.83
	4.33	3.1	1.83
	4.3	3.1	1.86
	4.31	3.08	1.87
	4.2	3.1	1.75
	4.32	3.18	1.82
	3.75	3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (2.81)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	1.85 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros
21.7%

Draw
29.4%

Millonarios
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

29.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llaneros's form might have worsened.

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llaneros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llaneros - Millonarios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sepulveda S. (G) 9. Uruena G. 13. Castano L. 7. Montoya Z. 5. Gomez M. 17. Moreno L. 21. Madrid N. 14. Camacho J. 20. Russi C. 11. Sanchez L. 23. Cobos L.	1. Borquez Vargas G. F. (G) 4. Bolano L. 26. Benavides M. 14. Gutierrez M. 17. Tamayo L. 11. Salazar L. 21. Calvo L. 15. Ariza T. 19. Garavito D. 9. Romero K. 7. Celis D.
Substitutes
6. Arevalo M. 3. Arguello M. 18. Castaneda A. 8. Gutierrez K. 1. Montanez P. (G) 10. Munoz Y. 19. Torres S.	10. Castellanos D. 8. Chaves D. 16. Gomez L. 23. Gonzalez A. 12. Lugo M. (G) 3. Romero J. 22. Torres M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Ariza T. (Pen),
23', Montoya Z. 🟨,
23', Bolano L. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
27', Castano L. 🟨,
32', Tamayo L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Camacho J. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Salazar L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Camacho J. ↓, Munoz Y. ↑,
50', Celis D. 🟨,
53', Salazar L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 3, Salazar L. ⚽,
63', Garavito D. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
64', Ariza T. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
68', Madrid N. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
74', Romero K. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Uruena G. ⚽, Moreno L. (A),
80', Sanchez L. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
86', Calvo L. ↓, Chaves D. ↑,
87', Moreno L. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
87', Cobos L. ↓, Castaneda A. ↑,
87', Torres M. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.06.24	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros	3:1 ✺
10.06.24	Inter Palmira - Llaneros	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Llaneros - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Llaneros - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLTW
- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
16.06.24	Millonarios - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
10.06.24	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Real Santander - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
20.05.24	Millonarios - La Equidad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
06.04.24	Millonarios - Llaneros	3:0
02.04.23	Llaneros - Millonarios	2:1
04.05.22	Llaneros - Millonarios	0:2
12.08.21	Millonarios - Llaneros	3:0
17.07.21	Llaneros - Millonarios	1:2
09.11.20	Llaneros - Millonarios	1:3
16.10.20	Millonarios - Llaneros	5:0

Llaneros - Millonarios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide