Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 14

Date: 6 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)


	Millonarios		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.55	6.01
	1.58	3.51	6
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.55	3.54	5.91
	1.55	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	5.81 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
59.2%

Draw
25.1%

Deportivo Pasto
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3%)

Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borquez Vargas G. F. (G) 4. Bolano L. 21. Calvo L. 10. Castellanos D. 7. Celis D. 16. Gomez L. 14. Gutierrez M. 3. Romero J. 9. Romero K. 11. Salazar L. 17. Tamayo L.	12. Chuquen C. (G) 23. Angulo E. 17. Arcila V. 11. Cano A. 16. Gutierrez M. 6. Herrera M. 7. Ibarguen S. 3. Navas S. 19. Sevillano H. 13. Torrealba J. 2. Torres M.
Substitutes
8. Chaves D. 19. Garavito D. 23. Gonzalez A. 13. Leal M. 12. Lugo M. (G) 22. Torres M. 24. Torres R.	9. Celis N. 20. Orozco N. 15. Quinones E. 21. Ramos S. 1. Rodriguez A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Romero K. ⚽, Castellanos D. (A),
39', Cano A. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Castellanos D. ⚽, Romero K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sevillano H. ↓, Celis N. ↑,
48', Torres M. 🟨,
62', Torrealba J. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
71', Romero K. ↓, Garavito D. ↑,
72', Tamayo L. 🟨,
76', Herrera M. ↓, Orozco N. ↑,
80', Gomez L. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
85', Castellanos D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
25.05.24	Real Santander - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
20.05.24	Millonarios - La Equidad	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	Inter Palmira - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWL
- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
29.05.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportivo Pasto - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Palmira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
18.02.23	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	1:1

Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide