Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Llanes		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	3.74	3.04	1.95
	3.82	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.71)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanes
24%

Draw
29.5%

Lealtad
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

29.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lealtad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanes won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Lealtad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Llanes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.01.24	Llanes - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lenense - Llanes	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Llanes - Urraca	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Tuilla - Llanes	5:1 ✺
03.12.23	Llanes - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.01.24	Luarca - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Llanera - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Lealtad - Praviano	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ceares - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
10.09.23	Lealtad - Llanes	2:1
02.04.23	Llanes - Lealtad	3:0
04.12.22	Lealtad - Llanes	1:1
08.05.22	Lealtad - Llanes	3:2 ET
06.03.22	Lealtad - Llanes	1:1
17.10.21	Llanes - Lealtad	0:0
24.11.19	Lealtad - Llanes	2:1

Llanes - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide