Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Ceares		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.36
	3.44	2.91	2.13
	3.43	3.02	2.15	Watch
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	3.45	2.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.78)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
27.6%

Draw
30.6%

Lealtad
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceares's form might have worsened.

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ceares - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Rueda A. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceares won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lealtad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ceares won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceares won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
08.02.25	Real Oviedo B - Ceares	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ceares - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Tuilla - Ceares	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ceares - San Martín	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTWL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.02.25	Lealtad - Colunga	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Covadonga - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Lealtad - LEntregu	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Lenense - Lealtad	4:4 ✺
12.01.25	Avilés Stadium - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
06.10.24	Lealtad - Ceares	3:0
26.05.24	Lealtad - Ceares	3:1
19.05.24	Ceares - Lealtad	0:1
21.04.24	Lealtad - Ceares	1:1
03.12.23	Ceares - Lealtad	1:1
15.01.23	Lealtad - Ceares	0:3
11.09.22	Ceares - Lealtad	1:1

Ceares - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide