Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Llanes		San Martín

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.78	3.3
	2.34	2.72	3.43
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.18	2.74	3.61
	2.1	2.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.55)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)	3.52 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanes
41.1%

Draw
33.1%

San Martín
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llanes's performance.

San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Llanes - San Martín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 3)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanes won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Llanes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Llanes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	EI San Martin	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5
15	Llanes	5	0	3	2	6:12	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Covadonga - Llanes	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Llanera - Llanes	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Llanes - Real Titánico	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Llanes - Tuilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWT
- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	San Martín - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	LEntregu - San Martín	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	San Martín - Colunga	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Mosconia - San Martín	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	San Martín - Ceares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
20.03.22	San Martín - Llanes	1:0
31.10.21	Llanes - San Martín	1:0
28.02.21	San Martín - Llanes	2:2
08.12.20	Llanes - San Martín	2:2
26.08.18	Llanes - San Martín	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Llanes - San Martín	1:3
12.11.17	San Martín - Llanes	3:2

Llanes - San Martín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide