Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday


	Llanidloes Town		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.72
	3.54	3.99	1.71
	3.79	4.05	1.71
	3.25	3.95	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.1)	4 ↓ (4.1)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanidloes Town
25.3%

Draw
22.7%

Gresford Athletic
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanidloes Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanidloes Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gresford Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanidloes won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Llanidloes have a series of guest games.

In this match Gresford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Llanidloes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanidloes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanidloes Town
Welsh Cymru North
03.02.24	Llandudno - Llanidloes Town	6:1 ✺
27.01.24	Porthmadog - Llanidloes Town	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Mold Alexandra - Llanidloes Town	4:1 ✺
06.01.24	Llanidloes Town - Prestatyn Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Ruthin Town - Llanidloes Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLTL
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
02.02.24	Gresford Athletic - Bangor 1876	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	4:1 ✺
20.01.24	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	2:3 ✺
12.01.24	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	0:5 ✺
01.01.24	Gresford Athletic - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	1:3
Welsh Cymru North
22.09.23	Gresford Athletic - Llanidloes Town	4:1
11.12.22	Gresford Athletic - Llanidloes Town	2:0
19.11.22	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	2:2
23.04.22	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	3:1
20.11.21	Gresford Athletic - Llanidloes Town	2:2

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