Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.5
	1.47	3.7	6.8
	1.44	3.78	8.96
	1.44	3.62	8.4	Watch
	1.45	3.72	7.95
	1.47	3.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	7.57 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
63%

Draw
24.9%

Alzira
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alzira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alzira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lleida - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Michel ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, Piera J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Lleida is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.10.24	Olot - Lleida	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Lleida - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sant Andreu - Lleida	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Lleida - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWT
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.10.24	Alzira - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Andratx - Alzira	2:3 ✺
22.09.24	Alzira - Espanyol B	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Torrent - Alzira	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Alzira - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.01.24	Lleida - Alzira	3:1
17.09.23	Alzira - Lleida	0:2
01.04.23	Alzira - Lleida	2:2
20.11.22	Lleida - Alzira	0:1

Lleida - Alzira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide