Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lleida		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.25	2.91	3.44
	2.23	2.92	3.36	Watch
	2.22	3	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
41.3%

Draw
31.3%

Sabadell
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lleida - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 1.

Recent matches Lleida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sabadell is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sabadell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lleida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lleida won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.09.24	Sant Andreu - Lleida	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Lleida - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Lleida	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Utebo - Lleida	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Murcia - Sabadell	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.09.24	Sabadell - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Andratx - Sabadell	3:5 ✺
08.09.24	Sabadell - Espanyol B	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Torrent - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.12.19	Sabadell - Lleida	4:0
14.04.19	Sabadell - Lleida	1:0
25.11.18	Lleida - Sabadell	3:2
13.05.18	Sabadell - Lleida	0:0
17.12.17	Lleida - Sabadell	0:0
23.04.17	Lleida - Sabadell	3:2
27.11.16	Sabadell - Lleida	1:1

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