Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 2

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.4
	2.27	2.89	3.43
	2.22	2.86	3.48
	2.24	2.98	3.37
	2.25	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.88)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.41 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
41.4%

Draw
31.6%

Atlético Baleares
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

30%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lleida's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lleida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lleida - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Ramon A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Pol J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Gene A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Campins J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2.

Recent matches Lleida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baleares is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Lleida have a series of guest games.

Lleida will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lleida won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.09.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Lleida	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Utebo - Lleida	3:0 ✺
14.08.24	Ejea - Lleida	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Teruel - Lleida	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Andorra - Lleida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWW
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
31.08.24	Atlético Baleares - CE Europa	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.24	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Atlético Baleares - Manacor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.05.19	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	2:1
22.12.18	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	3:2
04.02.18	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	1:0
17.09.17	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	1:1
19.03.17	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	2:1
30.10.16	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	1:0
03.04.16	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	0:6

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