Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lleida		Olot

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.2	5.2
	1.68	3.28	5.84
	1.66	3.26	5.55	Watch
	1.71	3.22	5.71
	1.67	3.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	5.5 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
54.8%

Draw
28.5%

Olot
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

32.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Olot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olot than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Lleida - Olot Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lleida will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olot will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gonzalez U. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lleida is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lleida won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:15 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.25	Sabadell - Lleida	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Lleida - Sant Andreu	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Cornellà - Lleida	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Lleida - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTTT
- UE Olot
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.25	Olot - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Andratx - Olot	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Olot - Espanyol B	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Torrent - Olot	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Olot - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.10.24	Olot - Lleida	0:0
19.03.23	Olot - Lleida	0:2
29.10.22	Lleida - Olot	0:1
13.03.21	Lleida - Olot	2:1
13.12.20	Olot - Lleida	2:1
25.01.20	Lleida - Olot	1:1
07.09.19	Olot - Lleida	0:1

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