Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)


	Atlético Baleares		Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.6	2.87
	2.5	2.7	3.05
	2.62	2.68	3
	2.58	2.79	2.91
	2.5	2.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.27)	2.69 ↓ (3.13)	2.98 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
35.7%

Draw
33.8%

Lleida
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Atlético Baleares - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Domingo M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Benitez C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baleares won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Baleares won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Baleares won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	CE Europa - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Baleares - Mallorca B	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Atlético Baleares - Andratx	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Baleares	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	Lleida - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Lleida - Andratx	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Espanyol B - Lleida	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Lleida - Torrent	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Valencia B - Lleida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.09.24	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	2:2
12.05.19	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	2:1
22.12.18	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	3:2
04.02.18	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	1:0
17.09.17	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	1:1
19.03.17	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	2:1
30.10.16	Lleida - Atlético Baleares	1:0

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