Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Peralada

	1	X	2
	2.69	2.88	2.57
	2.74	2.8	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.74)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
33.4%

Draw
31.9%

Peralada
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Peralada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Lleida - Peralada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Lleida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peralada has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lleida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Vic - Lleida	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lleida - LHospitalet	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Manresa - Lleida	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lleida - CE Europa B	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Grama - Lleida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTLT
- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Peralada - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	LEscala - Peralada	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Peralada - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Mollerussa - Peralada	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Peralada - San Cristóbal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.19	Lleida - Peralada	2:0
02.12.18	Peralada - Lleida	1:2
21.01.18	Lleida - Peralada	1:1
03.09.17	Peralada - Lleida	0:1

Lleida - Peralada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide