Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Manresa		Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.6	3.94	5
	1.55	3.72	6.45
	1.48	3.78	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	5.4 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
57.5%

Draw
25.3%

Lleida
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-2%)

Manresa - Lleida Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lleida (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lleida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Manresa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lleida has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Manresa is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manresa - LEscala	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Manresa - Mollerussa	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Terrassa - Manresa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWTW
- Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Lleida - CE Europa B	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Grama - Lleida	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lleida - Tona	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Can Vidalet - Lleida	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Lleida - Sant Andreu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.02.24	Lleida - Manresa	1:0
01.10.23	Manresa - Lleida	1:0
26.02.23	Manresa - Lleida	0:0
09.10.22	Lleida - Manresa	1:1
Club Friendly
27.08.22	Manresa - Lleida	2:5

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