Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Llerenense		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.12	7	18.5
	1.13	5.2	13
	1.06	9.1	28.83
	1.09	8.2	24
	1.2	5.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.33)	7 ↑ (4.4)	19.27 ↑ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
82.1%

Draw
13.1%

Don Álvaro
4.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

20.2%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llerenense's performance.

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Álvaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llerenense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Álvaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llerenense - Don Álvaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Llerenense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Llerenense to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Llerenense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.01.23	Azuaga - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Llerenense - Plasencia	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	La Estrella - Llerenense	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Llerenense - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Pueblonuevo - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.01.23	Don Álvaro - La Estrella	3:3 ✺
08.01.23	Don Álvaro - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Don Álvaro - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.09.22	Don Álvaro - Llerenense	1:2
20.02.22	Llerenense - Don Álvaro	1:0
17.10.21	Don Álvaro - Llerenense	0:0

Llerenense - Don Álvaro

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Llerenense - Don Álvaro Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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