Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Pueblonuevo |
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Llerenense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.5 |
3.75 |
1.78 |
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3.46 |
4.3 |
1.77 |
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3.38 |
4.17 |
1.81 |
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3.4 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
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3.47 |
4.05 |
1.77 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.44 ↑ (3.22) |
4.01 ↑ (3.79) |
1.79 ↓ (1.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pueblonuevo 26.4% | Draw 22.7% | Llerenense 50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2%)Pueblonuevo - Llerenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).Pueblonuevo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Llerenense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Llerenense will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 01.11.25 | Llerenense - Pueblonuevo | 2:0 | | 09.03.25 | Pueblonuevo - Llerenense | 1:1 | | 01.04.23 | Llerenense - Pueblonuevo | 3:3 | | 04.12.22 | Pueblonuevo - Llerenense | 0:2 | | 05.10.18 | Pueblonuevo - Llerenense | 1:0 |
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