Match Info

NPFL - Round 36

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Aper Aku Stadium (Makurdi)

Referee: Ojeleye J. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Lobi Stars		Nasarawa United

	1	X	2
	4.9	3.85	1.57
	4.82	5.07	1.35
	5.67	5.36	1.38	Watch
	7.45	5.2	1.3
	5.4	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (4.14)	4.7 ↑ (3.97)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobi Stars
16.2%

Draw
19.5%

Nasarawa United
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

22.8%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobi Stars's form might have worsened.

Nasarawa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nasarawa United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobi Stars than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nasarawa United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Nasarawa United (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nasarawa United will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nasarawa United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nasarawa United (votes: 6 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Daniel E. (G) 34. Akende J. 33. Assurance I. 5. Aule J. 17. Egiga V. 40. Farouk A. 23. Japhet K. 29. Kabiru M. 31. Kwambe S. 14. Oche A. 7. Suur K.	31. Ogundare D. (G) 1. Abbey B. 6. Abdullahi A. 36. Garba M. 3. Hussaini M. 10. Ibrahim A. 30. Joshua J. 4. Nduka C. 17. Ugochukwu L. 21. Utaka E. 14. Yusuf A.
Substitutes
38. Akighir 30. Itodo A. (G) 15. Jackson E. 16. Komgbenda . Terna P.	27. Adegoke K. 23. Balogun K. 24. Collins V. 12. Galadima M. (G) 18. Garba A. 15. Hassan M. 38. Jack B. 40. Kumater S. 11. Ulunwa S. C.
Coaches
Ganaru M.	Yusuf S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Japhet K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Kumater S. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Yusuf A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Lobi Stars is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobi Stars won 2.

Lobi Stars has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nasarawa United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Nasarawa United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nasarawa United is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lobi Stars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobi Stars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobi Stars
Nigerian Premier League
27.04.25	Kwara United - Lobi Stars	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Lobi Stars - Enugu Rangers	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Kano Pillars - Lobi Stars	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Lobi Stars - Remo Stars	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Lobi Stars - Sunshine Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
27.04.25	Nasarawa United - Heartland	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Bendel Insurance - Nasarawa United	1:1 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
16.04.25	Nasarawa United - Bayelsa United	2:1 penalties ✺
Nigerian Premier League
13.04.25	Nasarawa United - Plateau United	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Nasarawa United - Akwa United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
07.12.24	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	1:0
01.05.22	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	2:1
16.01.22	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	2:1
21.07.21	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	3:2
07.03.21	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	1:0
26.01.20	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	2:1
13.08.17	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	1:0

Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide