The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nasarawa United 60.8%
Draw 26.2%
Heartland 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
24.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
23.8%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Heartland aligns with the current prediction.
Nasarawa United - Heartland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ogundare D. (G) 1. Abbey B. 6. Abdullahi A. 18. Garba A. 3. Hussaini M. 40. Kumater S. 4. Nduka C. 17. Ugochukwu L. 11. Ulunwa S. C. 28. Utaka E. 14. Yusuf A.
30. Ogunga K. (G) 8. Agor C. 25. Agu S. 18. Anyanwu P. 34. Charles E. 19. Nassy I. 14. Nkwo C. 20. Omaka A. 6. Ozor C. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.
Substitutes
27. Adegoke K. 23. Balogun K. 12. Galadima M. (G) 15. Hassan M. 10. Ibrahim A. 38. Jack B. 30. Joshua J. 21. Onyema E. 7. Osanga K.
27. Agor C. 22. Chiaha C. (G) 10. Ekpo D. 29. Ezeamaiwe S. 35. Godwin A. 33. Iyanda T. I. 26. Molokwu C. 21. Orji E. 7. Shimagande T.
Coaches
Yusuf S.
Amuneke E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Nassy I. ↓, Ekpo D. ↑,
48', Suraju L. ↓, Shimagande T. ↑,
61', 🟨,
69', Omaka A. ↓, Ezeamaiwe S. ↑,
81', Agor C. ↓, Iyanda T. I. ↑,
81', Shimagande T. ↓, Agor C. ↑,
83', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nasarawa United won 3.
Nasarawa United is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Heartland is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nasarawa United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Nasarawa United is indisputable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Nasarawa United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.7:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Nasarawa United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
Nigeria
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Ogundare D. (G) 
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