Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 9

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Lobos ULMX		Montañeses

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.3	3.22	2.88
	2.22	3.34	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.67)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	2.79 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
40.1%

Draw
27.5%

Montañeses
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lobos ULMX's performance.

Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montañeses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lobos ULMX that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañeses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lobos ULMX - Montañeses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

Lobos ULMX has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montañeses is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lobos ULMX won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos ULMX won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.09.23	Escorpiones - Lobos ULMX	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Lobos ULMX - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Racing de Veracruz - Lobos ULMX	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Lobos ULMX - Inter de Querétaro	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Aguacateros de Peribán - Lobos ULMX	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.10.23	Montañeses - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	La Piedad - Montañeses	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Escorpiones - Montañeses	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Montañeses - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Racing de Veracruz - Montañeses	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.04.22	Montañeses - Lobos ULMX	1:0
20.11.21	Lobos ULMX - Montañeses	3:2

Lobos ULMX - Montañeses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide