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Current Win Probability
Logroño United 42.7%
Draw 28.8%
Alhama 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
30.8%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
29.7%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Logroño United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Logroño United's performance.
Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alhama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logroño United than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Logroño United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Logroño United - Alhama Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Logroño will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Logroño United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Miralles M. (G) 11. Leitner A. 23. Rebeca 5. Cebolla N. 3. Matthews Z. 20. Valderas L. 12. Amoh N. 10. Isina 14. Falfan D. 17. Mawete F. 7. Asenjo M. G.
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 5. Yannel 3. Martinez N. 16. Gestera M. 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 6. Quintero A. 19. Martinez B. 7. Yiyi 10. Alvarez A. 9. Pinel R. (C)
Substitutes
4. Castro I. 9. Congo A. 26. Galvez C. (G) 18. Garcia S. 6. Martinez L. 8. Masferrer Cruz M. 22. Morcillo J. 19. Partido P. 21. Rubio P. 24. Yeboah C.
13. Belotto S. (G) 26. Berasategui V. 27. Castineyras C. 22. Diaz Leal M. 18. Encarni 8. Estefa 12. Gomez E.
Coaches
Blanco H.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Asenjo M. G. ⚽, Isina (A),
36', Amoh N. 🟨,
42', Amoh N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Martinez B. ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 2, Yiyi ⚽, Martinez B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rebeca ↓, Partido P. ↑,
46', Valderas L. ↓, Yeboah C. ↑,
60', Yannel ↓, Castineyras C. ↑,
69', Martinez N. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Partido P. ⚽, Isina (A),
76', 2 - 3, Yiyi ⚽, Gestera M. (A),
78', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Encarni ↑,
83', 2 - 4, Pinel R. ⚽,
86', Leitner A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
86', Falfan D. ↓, Congo A. ↑,
90+4', Pinel R. ↓, Estefa ↑,
90+4', Martinez B. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
90+11', Quintero A. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
DUX Logroño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, DUX Logroño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, DUX Logroño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.