Match Info

Date: 28 February 2020, Friday


	Lokeren		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.45
	6	4	1.44
	6.4	4.2	1.47
	5.77	4.08	1.45
	6.75	4.33	1.49
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	6.3	4.45	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.39 ↑ (6.07)	4.23 ↑ (4.11)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokeren
14.5%

Draw
21.9%

Beerschot Wilrijk
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

22.6%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

19.2%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beerschot Wilrijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	5.7%	77.1%

Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beerschot Wilrijk: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSC Lokeren Oost-Vlaanderen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.02.20	Roeselare - Lokeren	2:2 ✺
16.02.20	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
12.02.20	Westerlo - Lokeren	3:2 ✺
01.02.20	Lokeren - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
24.01.20	Lokeren - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLT
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.02.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel	2:1 ✺
14.02.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
07.02.20	Roeselare - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.11.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lokeren	1:1
26.10.19	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
02.08.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lokeren	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.05.18	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:2
07.04.18	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lokeren	2:2
Belgian Cup
20.09.17	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0

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