Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Lokeren		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	4	3.6	1.72
	3.9	3.6	1.84
	4.22	3.43	1.72
	4.5	3.88	1.76
	4.2	3.7	1.75
	4.32	3.58	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.16)	3.65 ↑ (3.29)	1.76 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokeren
21.9%

Draw
25.4%

Excelsior Virton
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

20.9%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokeren's form might have worsened.

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior Virton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Lokeren - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSC Lokeren Oost-Vlaanderen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.02.20	Westerlo - Lokeren	3:2 ✺
01.02.20	Lokeren - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
24.01.20	Lokeren - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
17.01.20	Lommel - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Excelsior Virton - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLTLW
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.02.20	Excelsior Virton - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Roeselare - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
12.01.20	Excelsior Virton - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
21.12.19	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.01.20	Excelsior Virton - Lokeren	1:2
03.11.19	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:3
08.09.19	Excelsior Virton - Lokeren	4:0

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