Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stedelijk Sportstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Staessens B. (Bel)


	Lommel		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.87	3.5	3.9
	2	3.66	3.66
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.94	3.62	3.52
	1.95	3.55	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)	3.53 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
47.6%

Draw
26.3%

Excelsior Virton
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lommel - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Virton will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lommel won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lommel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Lommel won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.03.23	Deinze - Lommel	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Lommel - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Standard Liège U23 - Lommel	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Lommel - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLL
- Excelsior Virton
Club Friendly
24.03.23	RWDM Brussels - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.03.23	Genk U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	1:2 ✺
24.02.23	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.12.22	Excelsior Virton - Lommel	0:1
28.10.22	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	3:1
08.04.22	Excelsior Virton - Lommel	2:3
13.02.22	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	3:0
05.11.21	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	1:3
11.09.21	Excelsior Virton - Lommel	2:1
02.02.20	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	0:0

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