Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Lokeren		Hoogstraten

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.43	4.62	6.5
	1.4	4.55	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.75)	4.5 ↑ (3.8)	5.98 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokeren
64.4%

Draw
20.3%

Hoogstraten
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

22.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokeren's performance.

Hoogstraten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoogstraten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokeren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoogstraten than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoogstraten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokeren - Hoogstraten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League and 15).

Lokeren-Temse is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hoogstraten is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lokeren-Temse is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lokeren-Temse to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSC Lokeren
Belgian National Division 1
24.09.23	Gent B - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lokeren - Charleroi B	4:0 ✺
13.09.23	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Lokeren - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWTW
- Hoogstraten VV
Belgian National Division 1
23.09.23	Hoogstraten - RAAL La Louvière	0:5 ✺
16.09.23	Heist - Hoogstraten	1:0 ✺
13.09.23	Hoogstraten - Royal Antwerp 2	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Hoogstraten - Knokke	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Hoogstraten	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWT

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