Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Lokomotiv stadium (Gorna Orjahovica)


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Strumska Slava Radomir

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.29	4.34
	1.74	3.43	4.48	Watch
	1.75	3.32	4.52	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.12)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	4.4 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
52.2%

Draw
27.1%

Strumska Slava Radomir
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's performance.

Strumska Slava Radomir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strumska Slava Radomir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strumska Slava Radomir than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strumska Slava Radomir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gorna Oryahovitsa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Strumska Slava will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ganev G. (G) 8. Avramov I. 89. Badara A. 26. Ivanov M. 10. Kanchev D. 17. Kolev G. 3. Kuittinen M. 5. Minkov M. 19. Paskov P. 13. Petrov T. 23. Raychev K. (C)	12. Petkov D. (G) 77. Dilchovski M. 7. Iliev E. 91. Ivanoff R. 5. Kostov M. 22. Mitsakov D. 2. Nikolov B. (C) 3. Sandev R. 19. Stoilov M. 9. Vachev T. 8. Yanev G.
Substitutes
18. Dechev K. 1. Dimitrov V. (G) 92. Gospodinov M. 6. Kolev N. 16. Mitev S. 21. Savov M. 27. Tsachev Y. 71. Valchev G. 7. Valchev S.	17. Aleksandrov A. 15. Durev T. 13. Ivanov G. 71. Ivanov M. 18. Kadric A. 4. Mitov C. 99. Rashkov R. (G) 88. Videnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, ⚽,
54', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
90', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorna Oryahovitsa won 3.

Gorna Oryahovitsa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strumska Slava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gorna Oryahovitsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gorna Oryahovitsa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gorna Oryahovitsa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorna Oryahovitsa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.08.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Montana	0:3 ✺
22.07.24	Ludogorets II - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLL
- Strumska Slava Radomir
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.08.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Marek Dupnitsa	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Strumska Slava Radomir	5:1 ✺
05.08.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Botev Plovdiv II	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Strumska Slava Radomir	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.04.21	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1
04.10.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0
09.11.19	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	3:2
13.04.19	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:1
01.10.18	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:0
24.02.18	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:0

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