Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv stadium (Gorna Orjahovica)


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Minyor Pernik

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.7
	1.60	3.62	5.23	Watch
	1.32	4.4	8.75	Watch
	1.78	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2)	3.76 ↑ (3.25)	5.87 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
59.6%

Draw
24.7%

Minyor Pernik
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's performance.

Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minyor Pernik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minyor Pernik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gorna Oryahovitsa (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Gorna Oryahovitsa (1.92) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB, 1st Half - Gorna Oryahovitsa (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorna Oryahovitsa (votes: 15 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Milushev K. (G)
15. Arshev P.
8. Avramov I.
9. Ivanov J.
26. Ivanov M. (C)
17. Kolev G.
18. Mainis P.
5. Minkov M.
19. Paskov P.
16. Raykov T.
20. Roemer Y.
Substitutes
24. Ayeni A.
1. Dimitrov V. (G)
10. Kanchev D.
6. Kolev N.
3. Kuittinen M.
14. Petrov M.
. Pulov D.
27. Tsachev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gorna Oryahovitsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gorna Oryahovitsa is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.10.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sevlievo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTWT
- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.10.25	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Fratria	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Sevlievo - Minyor Pernik	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.02.25	Minyor Pernik - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:0
11.08.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	0:1
Bulgarian Cup
22.09.22	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:3 ET
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.02.21	Minyor Pernik - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:0
19.08.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:2

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