The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv-Kazanka 39.7%
Draw 28%
Murom 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
24%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
19.1%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv-Kazanka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv-Kazanka's form might have worsened.
Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murom's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv-Kazanka than the current prediction. (+25.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv-Kazanka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Kazanka - Murom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion and 6 in the zone Promotion).
Lokomotiv-Kazanka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Murom is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lokomotiv-Kazanka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv-Kazanka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv-Kazanka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-1.