Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Viktor Losev Stadion (Murom)


	Murom		Khimik Dzerzhinsk

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.46	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)	3.46 (3.46)	3.02 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
43.6%

Draw
26.3%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

22.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khimik Dzerzhinsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Aysin M. (G) 81. Alexandrov M. 68. Gerchikov L. 9. Kotik A. 5. Magomedov Z. 10. Makeev K. 15. Matsukatov A. (C) 23. Mikhailov D. 72. Teplyakov V. 46. Vasiliev V. 8. Vyskrebentsev A.	1. Anikeev R. (G) 7. Abramushkin N. 31. Bugaenko I. 44. Chubukin A. (C) 4. Ermakov V. 77. Kotelnikov D. 18. Krashevskiy Y. 19. Krasnov Y. 11. Markov V. 2. Mikhaylenko D. 37. Puchkov S.
Substitutes
21. Chenchikov R. 27. Esin V. 77. Evloev I. 7. Giraev K. 11. Kopylov D. 19. Kozin M. 3. Luppa D. 50. Nikiforov M. 17. Pershin Y. 1. Sedov E. (G)	9. Antsiferov I. 15. Berezov D. 97. Doronin S. 99. Karasev R. (G) 10. Merenchukov D. 23. Sergienko A. 47. Sergienko I. 5. Shirokov A. 57. Shulkin N. (G) 17. Tsikishev V. 80. Zhumabekov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Matsukatov A. ⚽,
12', Puchkov S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Krasnov Y. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Alexandrov M. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', Mikhaylenko D. 🟨,
81', Puchkov S. ↓, Shirokov A. ↑,
83', Kotik A. ↓, Evloev I. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
13.10.24	Torpedo Miass - Murom	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Murom - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Murom	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Murom - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTLW
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
12.10.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
04.09.24	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:3 penalties
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
25.08.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Murom	2:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
24.10.22	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:0
Russian Cup
31.08.22	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Murom	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.08.22	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Murom	1:2
25.10.21	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1
04.09.21	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Murom	2:1

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