Match Info

Youth League - Round 9

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Lokomotiv Moscow U19		Krasnodar U19

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.64	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 (2.12)	3.64 ↑ (3.62)	2.83 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow U19
42.9%

Draw
25%

Krasnodar U19
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Krasnodar U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar U19 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Guseynov E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Sagaria D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv U19 won 1.

In recent matches, Lokomotiv U19 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krasnodar U19 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lokomotiv U19 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv U19 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv U19 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Krasnodar U19	27	18	3	6	81:43	38	57
5	Lokomotiv Moscow U19	27	15	5	7	68:48	20	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
01.05.26	Rostov U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Rodina U19	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Chertanovo U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	7:0 ✺
10.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLTW
- FC Krasnodar U19
Russian Youth League
01.05.26	Krasnodar U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala U19 - Krasnodar U19	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Krasnodar U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	5:1 ✺
10.04.26	Ural U19 - Krasnodar U19	2:5 ✺
03.04.26	Krasnodar U19 - Zenit Petersburg U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
08.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:3
28.03.25	Krasnodar U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2:1
09.08.24	Krasnodar U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2:0
03.05.24	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:2
27.10.23	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:0
26.07.22	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:3
22.10.21	Krasnodar U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2:3

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19