What is the expert prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 05, 2026)

Match Info

efbet League - Round 24

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Referee: Arsov S. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		CSKA 1948 Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.85	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.4	3.05	2.12
	3.86	3.11	2.13
	3.79	3.28	2.02	Watch
	3.5	2.88	2.05
	3.7	3.04	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.94)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	2.08 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.9%

Draw
30%

CSKA 1948 Sofia
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 8% – 64.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (2.03) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 4 - 66.7%). CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 22. Ivanov I. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 99. Lamy J. 94. Itu C. 7. Idriz S. 77. Zwarts J.	1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. (C) 6. Parkhomenko E. 21. Dvali L. 22. Gasevic O. 8. Magnin Y. 67. Frederic 23. Krebs F. 20. Sobrero B. 77. Franco E. 93. Diallo M.
Substitutes
33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 11. Dinev Z. 44. Kirashki D. 10. Touma G. 3. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)	19. Boychev M. 3. Carrion J. 4. Hoffmann A. 9. Iliev A. 17. Martines J. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 14. Strinski K. 10. Tsonev B. 71. Yanakiev K.
Coaches
Kosic D.	Aleksandrov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Franco E. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Lucas Ryan (Own goal),
18', Umarbaev P. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Krebs F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Lamy J. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Diallo M. ⚽,
55', Zwarts J. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
55', Itu C. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
63', Krebs F. 🟨,
65', Diallo M. ↓, Martines J. ↑,
65', Sobrero B. ↓, Boychev M. ↑,
72', Idriz S. 🟨,
76', Frederic ↓, Strinski K. ↑,
76', Ivanov I. ↓, Kirashki D. ↑,
76', Ruskov M. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Franco E. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Krebs F. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
82', Franco E. ↓, Tsonev B. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Iliev A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA 1948 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CSKA 1948 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

CSKA 1948 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

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Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 4.47%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔	27	16	5	6	45:28	17	53
6	Lok. Plovdiv	27	10	11	6	28:32	-4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.02.26	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTTWW
- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.02.26	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
10.02.26	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.02.26	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0
25.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1
08.03.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1
19.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2
21.04.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
26.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1
07.06.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0

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