Match Info

efbet League - Conference League Group - Round 36

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Referee: Dimitrov D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.78	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.73	3.25	2.56
	2.63	3.27	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.66	3.28	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.44)	2.49 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
33.9%

Draw
29%

Botev Plovdiv
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.8%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	31.2%	31.2%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 4. Chindris A. 44. Kostov K. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 3. Trdan M. 12. Ali E. 94. Itu C. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 7. Idriz S. 77. Zwarts J.	29. Naumov D. (C) 42. Videv I. 87. Petrov S. 19. Conte A. 38. Balogiannis K. 14. Algarra C. 77. Lucas Araujo 44. Meotti C. 7. Iliev N. 90. Kalu S. 30. Mascote
Substitutes
33. Atanasov M. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 11. Dinev Z. 16. Kirashki D. 99. Lamy J. 23. Palazov R. 19. Vangelov M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)	88. Chimezie W. 23. Dorgu I. 27. Hein B. 28. Jocu H. 45. Martinho da Silva E. 11. Pedro Igor 21. Prandzhev N. (G) 4. Soldo N. 13. Tsonov S.
Coaches
Kosic D.	Baltanov L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Zwarts J. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Iliev N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Chindris A. 🟨,
54', Lucas Araujo 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Zwarts J. ⚽,
59', Videv I. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
59', Meotti C. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
59', Lucas Araujo ↓, Martinho da Silva E. ↑,
68', Ali E. 🟨,
75', Pavlov T. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
85', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
85', Mascote ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
87', Idriz S. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
90+1', Itu C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Botev Plovdiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Botev Plovdiv: 0.43% Lok. Plovdiv: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16
12	Lok. Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5:13	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Botev Plovdiv - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Cup
20.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:2 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.05.26	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
12.05.26	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWW
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	5:0 ✺
12.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2
08.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
12.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	Botev Plovdiv awarded
01.12.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	0:1
28.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2
03.11.23	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0

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