What is the expert prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 29, 2026)

Match Info

efbet League - Conference League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Biserov L. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.25
				Watch
	1.49	4.17	6.83
	1.61	3.97	5.21	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.48	4.05	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)	3.99 ↓ (4.55)	6.02 ↓ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
61.5%

Draw
23.2%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.3%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 15. Kurtulus E. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 27. Vinicius Nogueira 23. Duarte D. 18. Chochev I. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Stanic P. 37. Tekpetey B. 29. Bile E.	1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 4. Chindris A. 44. Kostov K. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 12. Ali E. 3. Trdan M. 7. Idriz S. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 94. Itu C. 77. Zwarts J.
Substitutes
9. Duah K. 26. Kaloc F. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 12. Rwan Cruz 7. Salido Tajero A. 42. Shishkov S. 5. Terziev G. 82. Yordanov I.	33. Atanasov M. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 11. Dinev Z. 14. Iliev D. 99. Lamy J. 16. Palazov R. 19. Vangelov M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Pavlov T. 🟨,
62', Vinicius Nogueira 🟨,
63', Bile E. ↓, Duah K. ↑,
66', Kostov K. 🟨,
73', Itu C. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
73', Umarbaev P. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
75', Chindris A. 🟨,
86', Chochev I. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Stanic P. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
96', Duarte D. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
107', Kurtulus E. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
118', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,
120+2', Milosavljevic B. ↓, Zovko P. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Duah K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ali E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yordanov I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lucas Ryan (Penalty Awarded),
3, Erick Marcus (Penalty Awarded),
3, Chindris A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rwan Cruz (Penalty Awarded),
4, Zwarts J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ludogorets is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2:0.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWL
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
20.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:2 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.05.26	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
12.05.26	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1
14.09.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:1
30.03.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0
06.10.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0
22.05.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:0
30.03.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2
Bulgarian Cup
06.12.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0

Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide