Match Info

efbet League - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lyubomirov L. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub 7
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub 6


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.60	1.91	Watch
	3.60	3.40	1.90
	3.95	3.55	1.90
	3.97	3.50	2.04
	3.88	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.90	3.35	1.95
	3.60	3.60	1.95	Watch
	3.50	3.40	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (4.04)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
24.9%

Draw
26.8%

CSKA Sofia
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

26.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Sofia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bozhev A. (G) 6. Emerson Barbosa 3. Dvali L. 4. Hoffmann A. 96. Grivic D. 8. Zemzemi M. 33. Cuellar H. 11. Rusev G. 30. Meyer J. 77. Franco E. 93. Diallo M.	21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 14. Ivanov T. 32. Rodriguez F. 17. Martino A. 7. Ebong M. 6. Jordao B. 8. Sensi S. 38. Leo Pereira 10. Zwarts J. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
7. Berna 9. Iliev A. 70. Iliev K. 23. Krebs F. 1. Marinov P. (G) 14. Strinski K. 71. Tarasenko D. 10. Tsonev B. 34. Vitanov P.	4. Almeida D. 11. Brahimi M. 37. Cotter B. 99. Eto'o J. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 67. Itu C. 30. Panayotov P. 94. Solet I. 91. Tunchev A. 19. Yordanov A.
Coaches
Mladenov O.	Gisdol M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Jordao B. ⚽, Sensi S. (A),
28', Cuellar H. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Pittas I. ⚽, Leo Pereira (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Martino A. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
46', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
48', Grivic D. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Franco E. ⚽,
56', Lapoukhov F. 🟨,
63', Franco E. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Iliev A. ⚽,
70', Sensi S. 🟨,
70', Pittas I. ↓, Itu C. ↑,
71', Zwarts J. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', Grivic D. ↓, Tarasenko D. ↑,
75', Jordao B. 🟨,
84', Zemzemi M. ↓, Vitanov P. ↑,
86', Ebong M. ↓, Eto'o J. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Jordao B. ⚽,
90+1', Franco E. ↓, Krebs F. ↑,
90+2', Leo Pereira ↓, Solet I. ↑,
90+3', Sensi S. 🟥,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 1.

CSKA 1948 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

CSKA Sofia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, CSKA Sofia has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, CSKA Sofia is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:28 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for CSKA 1948 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 7:15 goals (averaging 0.9:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia	12	9	3	0	29:9	20	30
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	12	8	1	3	25:13	12	25

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA 1948 Sofia - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 23.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

CSKA Sofia - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.09.26	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	4:1 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
09.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.09.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.05.26	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
08.05.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:1
14.02.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Cup
10.02.26	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.08.25	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1
07.12.24	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:2
07.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	1:3

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