Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - ROUND 26

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion u Kranjčevićevoj ulici (Zagreb)

Referee: Zebec M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport


	Lokomotiva Zagreb		Rudeš

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.4	4.6	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.76	8.59
	1.38	4.76	8.59
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.4	4.5	7.75	Watch
	1.38	4.35	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	4.56 ↑ (4.35)	7.87 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiva Zagreb
67.7%

Draw
20.5%

Rudeš
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20.9%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

19.1%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rudeš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudeš than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rudeš Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cavlina N. (G) 27. Vranjkovic M. 22. Bartolec K. 4. Leovac M. 26. Zilinski F. 15. Smakaj A. 14. Maric M. (C) 28. Canjuga I. 8. Mudrazija R. 19. Soticek M. 9. Cop D.	44. Markovic M. (G) 42. Kruslin V. 5. Mrcela T. 4. Pavkovic L. 26. Karacic F. 27. Pasaricek L. 13. Vukmanovic V. 23. Masala R. 8. Coric A. 10. Latkovic A. 20. Brajkovic R.
Substitutes
13. Boskovic B. 29. Bubanja V. 17. Elezi D. 23. Feta F. 7. Gorican S. 12. Hendija K. (G) 21. Kanizaj V. 16. Kastrati L. 30. Kukavica I. 3. Matic M. 31. Subaric Z. (G) 24. Toskovic B.	33. Ciban E. (G) 25. Dolezal J. 30. Huljic G. 7. Kuzmanic M. 90. Pavlovic M. 14. Petkovic V. 29. Sehic E. 34. Speljak K. 6. Srbljinovic T. 22. Stipic M. 19. Topic F. 16. Vujanic V.
Coaches
Cabraja S.	Mladina D.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva won 3.

Recent matches Lokomotiva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rudeš is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rudeš could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lokomotiva is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiva won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
02.03.24	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
27.02.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.02.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTLT
- NK Rudeš
Croatian HNL
04.03.24	Rudeš - Gorica	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
28.02.24	Rudeš - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
24.02.24	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Rudeš - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Varaždin - Rudeš	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
03.12.23	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:0
15.09.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rudeš	1:0
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:1
Croatian HNL
20.04.19	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:2
15.02.19	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rudeš	0:0
26.10.18	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:4
11.08.18	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rudeš	1:0

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