Match Info

HNL - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Lokomotiva Zagreb		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.38
	6.75	4.6	1.42	Watch
	6.9	4.55	1.4
	7.69	4.61	1.37
	7.51	4.85	1.37	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.4
	7.8	4.65	1.37	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↑ (4.89)	4.48 ↑ (3.93)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiva Zagreb
13.3%

Draw
20.7%

Dinamo Zagreb
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

22.7%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiva Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Posavec J. (G) 18. Situm M. 20. Kolinger D. (C) 5. Jukic T. 17. Pajac M. 10. Subotic M. 28. Belcar L. 23. Vesovic M. 15. Stojakovic A. 30. Vukovic D. 9. Sabra I.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 15. Galesic N. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 71. Bakrar M. 9. Beljo D. 10. Vidovic G.
Substitutes
6. Boskovic B. 16. Dajcer L. 33. Kamenovic D. 19. Posavac F. 26. Rog M. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 11. Susak M. 7. Trajkovski A. 29. Vasilj J. 21. Virgili D.	4. Bennacer I. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 11. Hoxha A. 21. Lisica M. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 25. Valincic M. 23. Varela C.
Coaches
Jelavic N.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Beljo D. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
26', Belcar L. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽, Vidovic G. (A),
29', Pajac M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Stojkovic L. ⚽,
45+1', Jukic T. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
46', Vukovic D. ↓, Kamenovic D. ↑,
46', Belcar L. ↓, Boskovic B. ↑,
52', Bakrar M. 🟨,
62', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
62', Bakrar M. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
66', Situm M. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
75', 0 - 5, Beljo D. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Galesic N. ↓, Valincic M. ↑,
76', Zajc M. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
76', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
76', Pajac M. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.

Recent form of Lokomotiva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lokomotiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M. (Injury) Mbacke D. (Injury) Sigali L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Katic I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Zagreb - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 penalties ✺
Croatian HNL
07.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
14.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:2 ✺
08.03.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Kurilovec	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	3:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
20.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0
05.10.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1
17.05.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1
15.03.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0
14.12.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1
28.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:1
21.04.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1

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