Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 16

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.95
	1.41	4.65	6.20	Watch
	1.48	4.05	5.6
	1.5	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.24 ↓ (4.75)	5.6 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
61.9%

Draw
21.7%

Greifswald
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

18.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotive Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lokomotive Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Maderer S. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Adetula A. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Wilton L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 1.

Lokomotive Leipzig is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greifswald has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lokomotive Leipzig is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Lokomotive Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotive Leipzig won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.11.25	Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hallescher - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:4 ✺
19.10.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemie Leipzig	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.11.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Altglienicke - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Greifswald - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Zwickau - Greifswald	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Greifswald - Preussen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
25.04.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	0:0
03.11.24	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1
18.02.24	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:0
26.08.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	0:1
17.02.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:1
28.08.22	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:1

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