The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hallescher 52.1%
Draw 24.7%
Lokomotive Leipzig 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
22.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
21.4%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Hallescher - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Benyamina S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Arcalean J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Mergel A. ⚽,
90+3', Landgraf N. 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 2, Hartmann F. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hallescher won 1.
Hallescher is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Lokomotive Leipzig have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hallescher may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Hallescher carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Hallescher in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hallescher has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hallescher against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Hallescher
14
8
5
1
22:11
11
29
11
Lokomotive Leipzig
14
4
6
4
27:27
0
18
Last Results with these Odds
Hallescher - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 53.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.