Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Lokomotyv Kyiv		Nyva Vinnycja

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	5.15
	1.55	4.10	5.50	Watch
	1.5	4.23	5.67	Watch
	1.44	4.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	4.18 ↓ (4.3)	5.46 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotyv Kyiv
61.2%

Draw
22%

Nyva Vinnycja
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

18.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotyv Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Nyva Vinnycja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotyv Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyva Vinnycja than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Lokomotyv Kyiv - Nyva Vinnycja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belimenko A. (C) 99. Yarmak Y. 5. Syrash M. 55. Konovalov V. 2. Bagriy P. 10. Mochevinskiy I. 77. Savchuk O. 90. Savchuk P. 88. Melnychenko I. 17. Golovatenko A. 11. Sakhnenko O.	25. Zakharchuk R. (G) 17. Kolchin K. 19. Moroz Y. 3. Lototskyi B. 23. Boryachuk O. (C) 11. Petlenko A. 7. Yevtikhov O. 13. Vlasenko A. 99. Chygur D. 88. Pogorilyi V. 10. Zagorulko A.
Substitutes
21. Illia Y. 8. Kostyrya D. 1. Matus A. (G) 7. Mordas B. 36. Nazarenko N. 71. Paliy D. (G) 6. Sabalayev A. 44. Titarenko T. 19. Vasyliovych O. 14. Vitaliyovych C. V. 13. Yesaulov A.	14. Katerinka S. 1. Kolomiets Y. (G) 29. Kondratchuk V. 5. Mezhenskyi Y. 9. Petryk A. 77. Poberezhets Y. 8. Ryabyi I. 22. Yakymchuk Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Savchuk O. 🟨,
31', Chygur D. ↓, Mezhenskyi Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Sakhnenko O. 🟨,
56', Golovatenko A. ↓, Mordas B. ↑,
75', Boryachuk O. ↓, Poberezhets Y. ↑,
75', Pogorilyi V. ↓, Ryabyi I. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', Sakhnenko O. 🟨,
81', Petlenko A. 🟨,
83', Vlasenko A. ↓, Petryk A. ↑,
83', Petlenko A. ↓, Katerinka S. ↑,
87', Savchuk O. ↓, Titarenko T. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Lokomotyv has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nyva V has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotyv is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Lokomotyv will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lokomotyv won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotyv won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Druha Liga
12.10.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Dinaz Vyshgorod	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Livyi Bereh 2	3:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Penuel	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WTWWW
- Nyva Vinnycja
Ukrainian Druha Liga
13.10.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Kulykiv-Bilka	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Hirnyk-Sport	7:0 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.09.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Real Pharma Odesa	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Bukovyna 2 - Nyva Vinnycja	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Uzhhorod	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
11.05.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:1
28.09.24	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Nyva Vinnycja	3:0
20.04.24	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Nyva Vinnycja	2:1
30.09.23	Nyva Vinnycja - Lokomotyv Kyiv	2:1

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