Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 22

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lorient II		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.15	1.98
	3.35	3.16	2.04
	3.39	3.21	2.05	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2
	3.52	3.08	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.59)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient II
26.3%

Draw
29.1%

Aviron Bayonnais
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

29.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

28.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient II than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Lorient II - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3).

Lorient II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aviron Bayonnais is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lorient II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aviron Bayonnais could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lorient II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient II
French National 1 - Group A
14.03.26	Montlouis - Lorient II	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lorient II - Dinan-Léhon	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	St Colomban-Locminé - Lorient II	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lorient II - Granville	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lorient II - Chauray	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLTW
- Aviron Bayonnais FC
French National 1 - Group A
18.03.26	Stade Poitevin - Aviron Bayonnais	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Aviron Bayonnais - St Colomban-Locminé	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Chauray - Aviron Bayonnais	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Angoulême	5:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Malo - Aviron Bayonnais	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
18.10.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Lorient II	2:1

Lorient II - Aviron Bayonnais