Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday


	Lornano Badesse		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.5
	1.75	3.45	3.9
	1.9	3.5	3.35
	1.92	3.61	3.32
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.92	3.4	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.53 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lornano Badesse
48%

Draw
26.3%

Ostia Mare
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lornano Badesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ostia Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lornano Badesse - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 12).

Lornano Badesse is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ostia Mare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lornano Badesse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.04.21	Pianese - Lornano Badesse	2:2 ✺
07.04.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	3:1 ✺
01.04.21	Lornano Badesse - Sinalunghese	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Trastevere - Lornano Badesse	3:3 ✺
21.03.21	Lornano Badesse - Foligno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.04.21	Ostia Mare - Grassina	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Cannara - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Ostia Mare - Tiferno Lerchi	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Ostia Mare	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	Ostia Mare - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.12.20	Ostia Mare - Lornano Badesse	3:2

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