Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Montespaccato		Lornano Badesse

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.25	3.11	2.89
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.29	3.25	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.31)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	2.75 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
38.3%

Draw
28.9%

Lornano Badesse
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.2%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montespaccato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lornano Badesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Montespaccato is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lornano Badesse in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Montespaccato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
05.12.21	Montespaccato - Cannara	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
21.11.21	Montespaccato - Pianese	3:3 ✺
14.11.21	Scandicci - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Montespaccato - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLW
- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
08.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Follonica Gavorrano	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Trestina - Lornano Badesse	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Lornano Badesse - Rieti	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Lornano Badesse - UniPomezia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.04.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	3:1

Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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